Daily Fantasy Plays: NFL Week 6

Showing posts with label NFL Week 6. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

What The Hell Was That?: NFL Week 6.


The Fifth Horsemen Strikes

The Fifth Horseman of the Apocalypse.

In Biblical lore there are Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse. They are Pestilence, Famine, War and Death. Evidently the authors of the Bible did not foresee Fantasy Football otherwise they would have added a Fifth Horseman named Injury.

This week Injury was busy.

DeMarco Murray, Cecil Shorts, Jimmy Graham, Randall Cobb, James Jones, Danny Amendola, Joique Bell, Matt Schaub, Bilal Powell, Calvin Johnson, etc, etc.

These big time players (yes even Mr. Toss A Pick Six Schaub is a major player) all got banged up early and their owners in Week 6. If you had any of them in your lineup you saw your weekly fantasy chances sink and your bank account did not get fatter.

The Ripple Effect of the Fifth Horseman.

Injuries don't just damage the injured players output, but their surrounding cast. Nowhere was this more evident in Week 6 than with Tony Romo. DeMarco Murray has been a staggering good running back this year for the Cowboys and he has allowed Romo to open up the passing game. Once Murray went down Romo's numbers plummeted.

So what should you take from this?

When selecting a QB pay attention to the status of his supporting cast. A sudden change due to injury or suspension can mean a decrease in numbers for any signal caller.

Look for bench players now thrust into the starting lineup on high powered offenses. Green Bay's backup receivers. Dallas' backup running backs. Julian Edelman if Amendola doesn't play. Justin Blackmon regardless of Cecil Shorts status.

What The Hell of the Week: Why Did You Buy Jimmy Graham?

Yup, I'm gonna toot my own horn here a bit. If you listened to me you did not buy Jimmy Graham and you may have won some money in Week 6. That is unless Shorts, Romo, Peyton, G. Graham or DeMarco made it into your in. What can I say but Oops, but then again EVERYONE loved them.

Darth Hoodie Strikes Again

If you listened to the pundits and experts around the fantasy football world who loved Jimmy Graham in Week 6 you lost. The amount he cost ($8,700) for the amount he got you (a big fat 0) was insurmountable.

I warned you. Why didn't you listen? Evidently a staggering amount of Fanduel.com players don't pay attention to history. The Patriot's always take away a teams best player. It can be counted on almost as much as a slow motion Belichick scowl. Aqib Talib (also injured) was a beast on Graham, who has arguably been the fantasy MVP this season. Initial reports suggest he won't miss too much time, but keep an eye on the injury wire as the week progresses.

No Name Stud of The Week: Brandon Jacobs

Brandon Jacobs has a name, but it hasn't been relevant in years. That is until Thursday against the Bears when he ran 22 times for 106 yards and 2 TDs and added a reception for 8 yards. FRom couch to stud. Will he continue or is it a fluke? As long as David Wilson's wonky neck keeps him out Jacobs has value. However, Giants Week 7 opponent, the Vikings, are ninth best against the run. Buy low for now, maybe.
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Photos Courtesy of NFL.com

Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

He is here to share his adventures, give advice and tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites.

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Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Week 6 NFL Fanduel Optimized Lineup (Expert)

Hi Dez. Hi Terrance.

Expert leagues on Fanduel.com are not for the faint of heart. They are for those who truly know football and are willing to bet they know more than the other who choose to play in them. This optimized lineup will help you be part of the group who call themselves winners.

Fanduel Expert $55,000 Optimized Lineup

QB: Tony Romo $8,800 WAS@DAL
RB: Knowshon Moreno $7,000 JAC@DEN
RB: Danny Woodhead $6,100 IND@SD
WR: Terrance Williams $5,600 WAS@DAL
WR: T.Y. Hilton $6,000 IND@SD
WR: Cecil Shorts $6,300 JAC@DEN
TE: Garrett Graham $5,100 STL@HOU
K: Dan Bailey $5,100 WAS@DAL
D: New York Jets $5,000 PIT@NYJ

QB Analysis
Tony Romo had a better performance on Fanduel.com than any other QB and he did that against the Broncos. This week the Redskins and their bad, bad defense come to Dallas and Romo is going to enjoy the day. Start him and get 3+ TDs.

RB Anaylsis
Moreno has finally taken the load in Denver (for now) and he's going against the soon to be demoted to the Canadian Football League (ala the English Premier League) Jaguars. I suspect that the Broncos will be up huge and that the second half will feature a lot of garbage time points for Moreno.

I Love Danny Woodhead. He is a powerhouse little scamp and with perennially disappointing Ryan Matthews unlikely to play, Woodhead will need to take up the slack if the Chargers hope to beat The Colts. Even if they don't Woodhead will see nice numbers.

WR Analysis
In my Standard Week 6 lineup I was forced to pick lower priced WRs. With the extra $5,000 I had to spend in the Beginner leagues I chose to upgrade this position.

Terrance Williams almost made my roster last week. I went with Broyles and paid for it. I won't make the same mistake again. Dallas will have to throw against the Colts and with Miles Austin still out and Dez Bryant seeing a lot of attention, expect Williams to see the end zone again.

Cecil Shorts is far to good to be on the Jaguars. Yet, despite this career handicap, Shorts has put up great numbers. With Henne playing Shorts will be the go to guy against Denver. They'll have to throw and a lot to keep this game even vaguely close. Lotsa garbage time plays.

T.Y. Hilton is making Colts fans look back in time. 2013 looks surprisingly like the year that Reggie Wayne surpassed Colts legend Marvin Harrison with Hilton playing the Wayne role. Hilton and Luck have become fast friends and this bromance will only grow stronger against the Cowboys who had a mega-shootout against the Broncos last week.

TE Analysis
This is the first week that I am NOT going with Jimmy Graham. Partly because I paid a lot at other positions and partly because of the match up. The Patriots are masters of taking away an opponents best player. On the Saints that player is Jimmy Graham. He may still be a stud, but I don't see him blowing up, especially since I suspect the Saints will run t the ball against a suddenly vulnerable New England run defense.

Julius Thomas has been a monster for Peyton and while you can never predict who will catch TDs in this offense, the Broncos love to use him in the red zone. Expect the big numbers to continue.

K Analysis
Dan Bailey will get a chance to kick a lot. He is accurate and will give you a nice stat line this week.

D Analysis
The Jets have a solid offense and the Steelers have a solid nothing much. A solid $5,000 option this week.

More Fanduel Optimized Lineups

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Photo Courtesy of NFL.com

Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

He is here to share his adventures, give advice and tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites.

Week 6 NFL Fanduel Optimized Lineup (Beginner)

Bryant Good for at Least One.

Last week my Beginner Lineup Scored less than my Standard Optimized Lineup. Go figure. It goes to prove that on Any Given Sunday a WR3 can beat a WR1. But that doesn't mean you should buy low. Stud receivers are studs because of their consistency. With that strategy in mind here are my Week 6 NFL Picks for Beginner Fanduel Leagues.

Fanduel Beginner $65,000 Optimized Lineup

QB: Peyton Manning $10,800 JAC@DEN
RB: DeMarco Murray $7,800 WAS@DAL
RB: Knowshon Moreno $7,000 JAC@DEN
WR: Terrance Williams $5,600 WAS@DAL
WR: Dez Bryant $9,200 WAS@DAL
WR: Pierre Garcon $7,000 WAS@DAL
TE: Julius Thomas $6,900 JAC@DEN
K: Dan Bailey $5,100 WAS@DAL
D: Kansas City Chiefs $5,600 OAK@KC

QB Analysis
In a normal week Peyton Manning has become a no-brainer. Against the (Insert Favorite Insult Here) Jacksonville Jaguars he's doubly so. My only concern is that they get up by so much that Peyton sits significant time in the second half. Course if that happens, Peyton will likely have already had a great game.

RB Anaylsis
Moreno has finally taken the load in Denver (for now) and he's going against the soon to be demoted to the Canadian Football League (ala the English Premier League) Jaguars. I suspect that the Broncos will be up huge and that the second half will feature a lot of garbage time points for Moreno.

DeMarco Murray isn't a sexy pick, and a alot of people will sour on him after last weeks poor stat line. But I think that was due to the fact that both teams tossed the ball all over creation. This week the attack will be more balanced. Only the Jags (see Moreno above) allow more rushing yards than the Redskins.

WR Analysis
In my Standard Week 6 lineup I was forced to pick lower priced WRs. With the extra $5,000 I had to spend in the Beginner leagues I chose to upgrade this position.

Terrance Williams almost made my roster last week. I went with Broyles and paid for it. I won't make the same mistake again. Dallas will have to throw against the Colts and with Miles Austin still out and Dez Bryant seeing a lot of attention, expect Williams to see the end zone again.

I'm going to double dip into the Dallas WR pool. Dez Bryant sits atop my wide receiver chart this week with Calvin Johnson a question mark. Against the horrid Washington pass defense, Bryant will put up huge numbers.

I love Pierre Garcon this week at Dallas. RGIII will have to throw a lot to keep up with Romo and his boys. Garcon will get a lot of of these looks and his talent is to great to shut down.

TE Analysis
This is the first week that I am NOT going with Jimmy Graham. Partly because I paid a lot at other positions and partly because of the match up. The Patriots are masters of taking away an opponents best player. On the Saints that player is Jimmy Graham. He may still be a stud, but I don't see him blowing up, especially since I suspect the Saints will run t the ball against a suddenly vulnerable New England run defense.

Julius Thomas has been a monster for Peyton and while you can never predict who will catch TDs in this offense, the Broncos love to use him in the red zone. Expect the big numbers to continue.

K Analysis
Dan Bailey will get a chance to kick a lot. He is accurate and will give you a nice stat line this week.

D Analysis
The Chiefs D is for real and they go against the Oakland Raiders who, despite Pryor's fascinating play this year, are not all that good. The Chiefs will sack Pryor and pick him off frequently.

More Fanduel Optimized Lineups

Week 6 NFL Fanduel Optimized Lineup (Standard)

I Like to Move It Move It.

This week I've gone against my normal philosophy of avoiding the Thursday game in Fanduel.com weekly leagues. But, if my brilliant wisdom doesn't convince to play in Thursday leagues I've compiled my normal Sunday/Monday lineup. I sure am nice. You should thank me, No really, comment below and share this with your friends.

Wanna challenge me? Find a game (or ten) on Fanduel.com and challenge me (I play under the name carneyvores)

Fanduel Standard $60,000 Optimized Lineup

QB: Peyton Manning $10,800 JAC@DEN
RB: Knowshon Moreno $7,000 JAC@DEN
RB: DeMarco Murray $7,800 WAS@DAL
WR: Terrance Williams $5,600 WAS@DAL
WR: T.Y. Hilton $6,000 IND@SD
WR: Pierre Garcon $7,000 WAS@DAL
TE: Garrett Graham $5,100 STL@HOU
K: Dan Bailey $5,100 WAS@DAL
D: Kansas City Chiefs $5,600 OAK@KC

QB Analysis
In a normal week Peyton Manning has become a no-brainer. Against the (Insert Favorite Insult Here) Jacksonville Jaguars he's doubly so. My only concern is that they get up by so much that Peyton sits significant time in the second half. Course if that happens, Peyton will likely have already had a great game.

RB Anaylsis
Moreno has finally taken the load in Denver (for now) and he's going against the soon to be demoted to the Canadian Football League (ala the English Premier League) Jaguars. I suspect that the Broncos will be up huge and that the second half will feature a lot of garbage time points for Moreno.

DeMarco Murray isn't a sexy pick, and a alot of people will sour on him after last weeks poor stat line. But I think that was due to the fact that both teams tossed the ball all over creation. This week the attack will be more balanced. Only the Jags (see Moreno above) allow more rushing yards than the Redskins.

WR Analysis
I've spent a lot on the QB and RB position. Now it is time to make that up with some lower price WRs who will continue their high priced ways.

Terrance Williams almost made my roster last week. I went with Broyles and paid for it. I won't make the same mistake again. Dallas will have to throw against the Colts and with Miles Austin still out and Dez Bryant seeing a lot of attention, expect Williams to see the end zone again.

T.Y. Hilton is making Colts fans look back in time. 2013 looks surprisingly like the year that Reggie Wayne surpassed Colts legend Marvin Harrison with Hilton playing the Wayne role. Hilton and Luck have become fast friends and this bromance will only grow stronger against the Cowboys who had a mega-shootout against the Broncos last week.

I love Pierre Garcon this week at Dallas. RGIII will have to throw a lot to keep up with Romo and his boys. Garcon will get a lot of of these looks and his talent is to great to shut down.

TE Analysis
This is the first week that I am NOT going with Jimmy Graham. Partly because I paid a lot at other positions and partly because of the match up. The Patriots are masters of taking away an opponents best player. On the Saints that player is Jimmy Graham. He may still be a stud, but I don't see him blowing up, especially since I suspect the Saints will run t the ball against a suddenly vulnerable New England run defense.

So I'm going upside and choosing Garret Graham who has been decent and now has an increased role due to Owen Daniel's injury. Expect skittish Matt Schaub to look for Graham frequently.

K Analysis
Dan Bailey will get a chance to kick a lot. He is accurate and will give you a nice stat line this week.

D Analysis
The Chiefs D is for real and they go against the Oakland Raiders who, despite Pryor's fascinating play this year, are not all that good. The Chiefs will sack Pryor and pick him off frequently.

More Fanduel Optimized Lineups

Week 6 NFL Fanduel Optimized Lineup- Including Thursday (Standard)

Are the Jags an NFL Team?

Normally I do not like drafting players that are playing on Thursday night. There are a lot of reason why I don't like Thursdays, but my main issue is the potential for injury, suspension or other benching in the intervening three days.

In Thursday Fanduel.com leagues your roster locks when the first game starts. So if Calvin Johnson and his hefty price tag unexpectedly sit (as happened in Week 5) you are screwed. So as a general rule I do not like Thursday games.

This week I love the Thursday game so I've written a special Thursday edition Fanduel Standard $60,000 Optimized Lineup. Here's why.

The New York Giants (0-5) are heading to Chicago to face the Bears (3-2). The Bears offense has been on fire. The D has been solid. The Giants don't like Eli anymore. How else can you explain the 15 sacks he's taken through five games.Eli has complete 15 passes to opposing teams. The Giants have allowed 30 points or more in each game. The Bears will kill it and as a Patriot's fan I'm gonna laugh myself silly when the Giants fall to 0 - 6.

This is the Thursday to Play Fanduel.com. Find a Thursday League and Join Me.

Fanduel Standard $60,000 Optimized Lineup (Including the Thursday Game)

QB: Peyton Manning $10,800 JAC@DEN
RB: Matt Forte $8,600 NYG@CHI
RB: Knowshon Moreno $7,000 JAC@DEN
WR: Alshon Jeffery $6,300 NYG@CHI
WR: Terrance Williams $5,600 WAS@DAL
WR: T.Y. Hilton $6,000 IND @ SD
TE: Garrett Graham $5,100 STL@HOU
K: Robbie Gould $5,000 NYG@CHI
D: Chicago Bears $5,500 NYG@CHI

QB Analysis
In a normal week Peyton Manning has become a no-brainer. Against the (Insert Favorite Insult Here) Jacksonville Jaguars he's doubly so. My only concern is that they get up by so much that Peyton sits significant time in the second half. Course if that happens, Peyton will likely have already had a great game.

RB Anaylsis
I love Forte and have for years and with Marc Trestman at the helm of the Bears, Forte has gone from great to elite. Cutler will get the ball to Forte a ton, whether runs or catches. Start him and smile.

Moreno has finally taken the load in Denver (for now) and he's going against the soon to be demoted to the Canadian Football League (ala the English Premier League) Jaguars. I suspect that the Broncos will be up huge and that the second half will feature a lot of garbage time points for Moreno.

WR Analysis
I've spent a lot on the QB and RB position. Now it is time to make that up with some lower price WRs who will continue their high priced ways.

Alshon Jeffery may be the best fantasy WR on the Bears. He has shown deep play speed and is targeted an insane amount by Cutler. Expect another big day from the young speedster.

Terrance Williams almost made my roster last week. I went with Broyles and paid for it. I won't make the same mistake again. Dallas will have to throw against the Colts and with Miles Austin still out and Dez Bryant seeing a lot of attention, expect Williams to see the end zone again.

T.Y. Hilton is making Colts fans look back in time. 2013 looks surprisingly like the year that Reggie Wayne surpassed Colts legend Marvin Harrison with Hilton playing the Wayne role. Hilton and Luck have become fast friends and this bromance will only grow stronger against the Cowboys who had a mega-shootout against the Broncos last week.

TE Analysis
This is the first week that I am NOT going with Jimmy Graham. Partly because I paid a lot at other positions and partly because of the match up. The Patriots are masters of taking away an opponents best player. On the Saints that player is Jimmy Graham. He may still be a stud, but I don't see him blowing up, especially since I suspect the Saints will run t the ball against a suddenly vulnerable New England run defense.

So I'm going upside and choosing Garret Graham who has been decent and now has an increased role due to Owen Daniel's injury. Expect skittish Matt Schaub to look for Graham frequently.

K Analysis
I suspect the Bears to put up 30 or more points against the Giants. Gould will see a lot of chances and is a solid $5,000 play.

D Analysis
The Bears have to be salivating here. Eli has taken 15 sacks and tossed 15 interceptions. I expect both numbers to go up and see a pick 6 or kickoff TD as probable.

More Fanduel Optimized Lineups

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