Showing posts with label Buy High/Buy Low. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Buy High/Buy Low. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Buy High/Buy Low: Quarterbacks and Running Backs for NFL Week 8

Megatron, Bush and Bell. Oh, My.
I thought Week 6 in the NFL was an injury fest, but it had nothing on Week 7. I won't rehash all the season ending and franchise killing injuries here, but my What The Hell Was That column dives into the horrid depths of murky despair that many an NFL fan and daily fantasy player were left cringing after Week 7.

But that's the past. Now it is time for Week 8 Buy High/Buy Low: Quarterbacks and Running Backs

Buy High are players that will cost you, but that are so sure to perform up to, or even exceed, their cost that they are worth the price. Find a few of these and build your team's core.

Buy Low are players who have a low cost, but who are highly likely to outperform their low cost. These are the sleepers of the week. These are the players that can win you the week.

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Quarterbacks: Buy High

Matthew Stafford: Fanduel - $9,200 : DraftKings - $8,800 : DraftStreet - $14,977
Dallas and their third worst pass defense comes to Detroit and Matthew Stafford will throw, throw, throw against them. I like this matchup a lot this week. Calving is back. Bush and Bell can catch out of the backfield. Expect a lot of scoring in this game.
Projections: 355 passing yards and 4 TDs.

Drew Brees: Fanduel - $9,600 : DraftKings - $10,200 : DraftStreet - $16,851
Brees had a bye last week and while Jimmy Graham is likely to be questionable at best, Brees is facing the lowly Buffalo defense who have allowed 15 TD passes and nearly 2,000 passing yards. He will once again prove why he is one of the best money QBs in the league.
Projections: 320 passing yards and 4 TDs.

Other Solid Options: RG III, Aaron Rodgers, Tony Romo and Peyton Manning (Duh).

Quarterbacks: Buy Low

NOTE: I do not like most of the Buy Low QB candidates this week. Buy at your own risk.

Eli Manning: Fanduel - $6,800 : DraftKings - $6,800 : DraftStreet - $12,124
Eli is the only Buy Low I'd actually buy this week. He;ll throw an INT or four, but he will also have some good yardage and a good possibility for three TDs against a Philly D that likes to give up both. Maybe Eli's confidence gets a boost from last weeks win.
Projections: 273 passing yards and 3 TDs.

Ryan Tannehill: Fanduel - $7,000 : DraftKings - $6,700 : DraftStreet - $11,210
The Patriots are in trouble. Teams can throw against them and Tannehill will get that chance. However, The Patriots do not lose two games in a row. If Aqib Talib returns then I would definitely not use Tannehill, but if he doesn't he is an OK play.
Projections: 235 passing yards and 2 TDs.

Other Decent Options: Thad Lewis, maybe.

Buy High: Running Backs

Reggie Bush: Fanduel - $8,100 : DraftKings - $7,300 : DraftStreet - $12,320
I love Bush this week. The bye will get him healed up and he goes against Dallas who give up the third most receiving yards and over 100 rush yards a game. Bush is the DUAL threat in the NFL and he should see lots of work even with Joique Bell vulturing some touches.
Projections: 105 rushing yards and 1 TD and 75 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Frank Gore: Fanduel - $7,400 : DraftKings - $7,200 : DraftStreet - $11,878
Frank Gore has quietly put up some impressive numbers this season. Now he gets worst in the league against the run Jacksonville Jaguars who allow 150+ rush yards per game. Expect a lot of Gore in both aspects of the offensive game plan.
Projections: 130 rushing yards and 2 TDs and 55 receiving yards.

Other Solid Options: Marshawn Lynch, Jamaal Charles and LeSean McCoy.

Buy Low: Running Backs

NOTE: I love the Buy Low running backs this week. Spend low here and Buy High at QB.

Roy Helu: Fanduel - $5,700 : DraftKings - $3,300 : DraftStreet - $5,751
Alfred Morris was supposed to be the bell cow in this offense, but it seems that it may now be the dreaded RBBC (running back by committee). This means that Helu, who had a stunning 3 TDs last week, could see some nice work, especially against the Broncos who are good against the run, but bad against the pass. Helu catches the ball better than Morris and is more than worth the piddling $3,300 he'll cost you on Draftkings.com.
Projections: 45 rushing yards and 75 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Darren Sproles: Fanduel - $6,600 : DraftKings - $6,300 : DraftStreet - $9,971
The Saints will miss Jimmy Graham if he cannot go and Sproles will be the main fill in for Drew Brees when the Bills come to the Big Easy. The Bills allow the second most rushing yards and have given up 278 passing yards per game and 15 receiving TDs.
Projections: 55 rushing yards and 105 receiving yards and 2 TDs.

Other Solid Options: Jaquizz Rodgers, Joique Bell and  Eddie Lacy.

 ______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photos Courtesy of ESPN.com.

Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

 He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites. 



______________________________________________________________________________ Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Buy High/Buy Low: Wide Receivers and Tight Ends for NFL Week 7

Please Don't Drop the Ball.
 Week 6 of the 2013 NFL season was a perfect example of how chaotic the wide receiver and tight end positions can be. The top of the stats was dominated by a couple of wide receivers who have spent part of the season suspended in Justin Blackmon and Josh Gordon. A look at the Top 20 in receiving yards for Week 6 will make any longtime fantasy prognosticator scratch their heads.

I reiterate my theory on wide receivers. Spend your money elsewhere and go for low cost high upside.

Oddly the opposite is the case with tight ends. If you listened to me last week you did not buy Jimmy Graham, and while I'll take credit for it, even I didn't foresee a big fat zero in his stat line. Nor did I predict that Vernon Davis would annihilate the Arizona Cardinals. My sleeper Garret Graham apparently spent most of the game sleeping.

Yet, this week with Jimmy Graham on a bye (and injured) the top of the crop at TE becomes a bit more fuzzy. You can get good value on a tight end and spend it on your running backs instead.

Understand  these principals when selecting your wide receivers and tight ends.

Buy High are players that will cost you, but that are so sure to perform up to, or even exceed, their cost that they are worth the price. Find a few of these and build your team's core.

Buy Low are players who have a low cost, but who are highly likely to outperform their low cost. These are the sleepers of the week. These are the players that can win you the week.

Play on Fanduel.com Now : Play on DraftKings.com Now : Play on DraftStreet.com Now.

Wide Receivers: Buy High

DeSean Jackson : Fanduel - $8,200 : DraftKings - $7,700 : DraftStreet - $13,103
It doesn't really matter who is tossing Jackson the ball. In fact, after last week where Jackson caught two TDs, it may be better if Nick Foles gets the start again. Philly may win this game. If they do, Jackson will have to come up big.
Prediction: 120 yards receiving and 1 TD.

Dez Bryant : Fanduel - $8,200 : DraftKings - $7,700 : DraftStreet - $13,103
Another receiver from the same game who, like Jackson, is going against a team that has difficulty stopping players from putting up big receiving numbers. This should be an entertaining shootout and Dez will see a lot of looks.
Prediction: 110 yards receiving and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options: Justin Blackmon, Victor Cruz, Reggie Wayne and Brandon Marshall.

Wide Receivers: Buy Low

Keenan Allen :  Fanduel - $4,500 : DraftKings - $4,600 : DraftStreet - $8,415
How is this guy still so cheap? Under 5K after two straight 100+ 1 TD games. Put this guy in your lineup. Even if he only gets half that total he'll be worth the cost. Oh yeah, he's going against the Jags and his QB Rivers is looking like a pro bowler.
Prediction: 100 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Harry Douglas :  Fanduel - $4,800 : DraftKings - $4,600 : DraftStreet - $8,415
Douglas isn't a burner, but he is a decent receiver who will have to step up now that Julio Jones is done of the season and Roddy White is "well who knows." Against Tampa he'll bring his A game.
Prediction: 70 Receiving yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options: Julian Edelman, Terrance Williams and Kendall Wright.

10 + Catches?
Tight Ends: Buy High

Tony Gonzalez : Fanduel - $7,000 : DraftKings - $6,800 : DraftStreet - $11,282
We all saw what he did the the Patriot's a few weeks ago. Now that White and Jones are injured it is up to Harry Douglas and Gonzalez. Who do you think Matt Ryan looks to the most? Gonzo will make you happy against the Bucs.
Prediction: 100 yards and 1 TD

Antonio Gates : Fanduel - $6,700 : DraftKings - $5,700 : DraftStreet - $10,652
It has been a while since I recommended Gates for anything. But he goes against the Jags, has a rejuvenated Philip Rivers looking for him and should roll this week. He is a lower cost Buy High.
Predictions: 90 yards and a TD

Other Solid Options: Jordan Cameron, Julius Thomas and Jason Witten.

Tight End: Buy Low

Charles Clay : Fanduel - $4,900 : DraftKings - $4,500 : DraftStreet - $8,819
Miami likes to throw to their tight ends and Buffalo likes to give up receiving yards (1,754) and receiving TDs (12). This could be a great day for Double C. 
Prediction: 70 yards and 1 TD

Jordan Reed : Fanduel - $4,500 : DraftKings - $4,100 : DraftStreet - $5,781
In a few years we may talk about Jordan Reed in the same voice we talked about Aaron Hernandez before he was arrested for murder. Same college, same home state, same skill set. Hopefully NOT the same shitty personality. Chicago has given up more yards than people think. Reed will get a lot of them.
Prediction: 60 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options: Scott Chandler, Kyle Rudolph and Joseph Fauria

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Buy High/Buy Low Quarterbacks and Running Backs.

 ______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photos Courtesy of Wikipedia.com

Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites.  

DollarShaveClub-Save on a Shave ______________________________________________________________________________ Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Buy High/Buy Low: Quarterbacks and Running Backs for NFL Week 7

Running and Throwing is Fun
Week 6 had so many injuries that it was the subject of this week's What The Hell Was That? column. If you're one of those weekly fantasy players who likes to plan ahead you likely have a lot of re-planning to do. That's where Buy High/Buy Low comes to play.

Buy High are players that will cost you, but that are so sure to perform up to, or even exceed, their cost that they are worth the price. Find a few of these and build your team's core.

Buy Low are players who have a low cost, but who are highly likely to outperform their low cost. These are the sleepers of the week. These are the players that can win you the week.


Play on Fanduel.com Now : Play on DraftKings.com Now : Play on DraftStreet.com Now.

Quarterbacks: Buy High

Cam Newton: Fanduel - $8,700 : DraftKings - $9,000 : DraftStreet - $14,840
After five weeks of dismal stats Newton blew up last week. In Week 7 he goes against a St. Louis team that ranks 30th against the run and 23rd against the pass. Newton likes to run. Newton likes to pass. He'll have fun doing both.
Prediction:  290 passing yards and 2 TDs and 70 rushing yards and 1 TD.

Andrew Luck: Fanduel - $8,700 : DraftKings - $8,400 : DraftStreet -$13,676
Luck has been an under appreciated QB for most of the season, but he has the fourth highest QBR and takes on the man he replaced in Week 7 when Peyton Manning and the Broncos come to Indy. The Broncos have given up a staggering 2,026 passing yards through six games and Peyton will have a massive chip on his shoulder. Luck will have to throw a lot to stay in this game.
Prediction: 350 passing yards and 3 TDs. 25 rushing yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options: Philip Rivers,  Jay Cutler, Tony Romo and Peyton Manning (Duh).

Quarterbacks: Buy Low

Brandon Weeden: $5,500 : DraftKings - $5,600 : DraftStreet - $10,826
The Browns have a good defense. The Green Bay Packers suddenly find their WR corp decimated. I suspect that Weeden will get a lot of time to toss the ball against a defense that has allowed an average of 294 yards to opposing QBs.
Prediction: 305 yards and 2 TDS.

Thaddeus Lewis: Fanduel - $5,500 : DraftKings - $5,800 : DraftStreet - $9,789
Keep an eye on this gutsy pick. The Miami defense is not as good against the pass as people think, They're currently allowing 288 yards per game. I like Lewis a lot in leagues that require two starting QBs.
Prediction: 270 passing yards and 2 TDs. 30 rushing yards.

Other Solid Options: Eli Manning, Nick Foles and Alex Smith.

Blisters Schmisters
Running Backs: Buy High

Jamaal Charles: Fanduel - $9,800 : DraftKings - $8,500 : DraftStreet - $14,733
Charles is a must start nearly every week, but against the woeful Houston Texans and their cluster of an offense I suspect the Chiefs will dominate the time of possession. Charles will get lots of chances to rip off a big one and see lots of touches. Houston is #1 against the pass, but #26 against the run. The Chiefs are looking to go 7 - 0 and Charles will be a big reason why they get there.
Prediction: 140 rushing yards and 2 TDs. 45 receiving yards.


LeSean McCoy: Fanduel - $9,500 : DraftKings - $8,800 : DraftStreet - $14,478
The season's top runner will continue his domination against Dallas who is middle of the road against the run and near last against the pass. He is a legitimate threat to approach 200 total yards from scrimmage. Buy him and feel proud you did.
Prediction: 105 rushing yards and 1 TD. 80 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options:  Adrian Peterson, Matt Forte and Arian Foster.

Running Backs: Buy Low

Danny Woodhead: Fanduel - $6,100 : DraftKings - $5,200 : DraftStreet - $8,617
This kid can catch and this kid can run. This week he gets the Jaguars who don't know how to stop either. Woodhead has averaged 6 catches a game and I think this is the week he once again finds the end zone. I don't buy Matthews resurgence, but even still there will be plenty to go around.
Prediction: 50 rushing yards and 1 TD. 75 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Brandon Jacobs: Fanduel - $5,500 : DraftKings - $3,900 : DraftStreet - $7,427
Brandon Jacobs, who was the my No Name Stud of the Week last week, was on the couch a few weeks ago and now is a starting RB on a team with a QB who loves to toss interceptions. If Coach Coughlin wants to last the season he'll take the ball from Eli and hand it over and over again to Jacobs.
Prediction: 120 rushing yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options:  Eddie Lacy, Steven Ridley and DeAngelo Williams.

Play on Fanduel.com Now : Play on DraftKings.com Now : Play on DraftStreet.com Now.

Buy High/Buy Low Wide Receivers and Tight Ends.
 ______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photos Courtesy of ESPN.com.

Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

 He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites. 



______________________________________________________________________________ Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

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