Saturday, October 19, 2013

Things You Oughta Know: Tips and Hints for NFL Week 7

Fantasy football is a game of stats. Balls are caught, yards are run, TD passes are made and points are accrued. Whomever has the most points wins. Whomever wins gets the money. In some cases a lot of money.

It is my job to give you the information so that you can best predict who will have better stats. It is a difficult job. It is nothing less than attempting to predict the future. To make these predictions I do not commune with a soothsayer, cast lots or flip tarot cards, though perhaps I should.

Instead I study trends, investigate match-ups and explore history. These tidbits help inform my Buy High/Buy Low Column as well as my Optimized Lineups, but sometimes they don't make it into those articles.

Things You Oughta Know is my opportunity to share this information.

Things You Oughta Know NFL Week 7

Quarterbacks
  •  Philip Rivers is third in overall fantasy points and is averaging 21.1 points per contest. That's a higher average than anyone above him not named Peyton. Now he gets the Jags, who have looked better in recent weeks and with Justin Blackmon lighting it up, the Chargers will need to throw to keep their lead.
  • Tony Romo is going up against the Philly D that has allowed over 300 yards passing per game and 13 TDs this year. Romo to Dez should be a fun thing to watch.
  • Nick Foles against Romo's third worst in the league Dallas D. See above and repeat, excpet make it 14 TDs allowed for Dallas.
  • Peyton comes back to Indy. Start Andrew Luck. Nuff said.
  • Cam Newton finally showed up with 30+ points. St. Louis can't stop the run or the pass. Play him again.
Running Backs
  • Fred Jackson has 344 yards and 4 TDs and 21 catches for 144 yards WITH consensus pre-season stud CJ Spiller sharing time.  Miami's D isn't as good against the run as people imagine. Jackson should shine.
  • Brandon Jacobs is back. Not sure I buy it either, but if he is going to repeat his 100+ performance from last week anytime soon it will be this week against the Vikings who allow 110 yards a contest. New York needs to win at least once, don't they?
  • Giovani Bernard looks to be the dual threat back. His 20 catches, 201 yards and 2 TDs  mixed with 237 rush yards and 2 TDs make him a nice solid play against Detroit's suspect run D

Wide Receivers
  • In the two games since Justin Blackmon has returned from his suspension he has 19 catches for 326 yards and 1 TD. In TWO games for the Jacksonville Jaguars. This week Blackmon goes against the San Diego Chargers who are 28th in the league in yards allowed to pass catchers. They've also allowed 10 TD catches. AND Cecil Shorts may sit. 
  • Keenan Allen has gone over 100 yards with a TD in each of the past two games. He is the rejuvenated Philip Rivers most trusted target. He goes against the Jags who have given up 14 TD passes.
  • Philly and Dallas are two of the worst three teams against the pass. They play each other in Week 7. Dez Bryant and DeSean Jackson play on those teams. Both are in the Top 6 for receiving TDs.
  • Washington's D is bad. Brandon Marshall has 40 catches for 486 yards and 5 TDs.




Thursday, October 17, 2013

NFL Week 7 Fanduel Optimized Lineup (Expert)

Yeah I Don't Even Know Who I Am.
Fanduel Expert leagues are hard. They are impossible when you get killed by injuries and general sucking. My advice, unless you are a true, bonified expert then I'd stick with my Standard Optimized Lineup or Beginner Optimized Lineup. You've been warned, buying Thaddeus Lewis is not for the faint of heart.

Fanduel Standard $60,000 Optimized Lineup

QB: Thaddeus Lewis $5,500 BUF@MIA
RB: Knowshon Moreno $7,700 DEN@IND
RB: LeSean McCoy $9,500 DAL@PHI
WR: Harry Douglas $4,800 TB@ATL
WR: Golden Tate $4,700 SEA@ARI
WR: Keenan Allen $4,500 SD@JAC
TE: Tony Gonzalez $6,800 TB@ATL
K: Robbie Gould $5,200 CHI@WAS
D: Kansas City Chiefs $6,000 HOU@KC

QB Analysis
Who foresaw Thaddeus Lewis' amazing day against the Bengals last week? Put your hands down you big fibber. Expert leagues are tough, so you need to take a flyer somewhere, usually several somewheres. Watch the news on his foot. If he sits use Weeden instead.

RB Analysis
Knowshon Moreno has been a stud and Peyton will lean heavily on him this week against his old team. I chose McCoy over Charles for one reason, Charles cost more and in an Expert league and I couldn't afford him.

WR Analysis
This week I am buying low at wide receiver. But that doesn't mean I am tossing my $ away. These cheap options should score nearly as much as the big boys, but cost you a lot less.

Atlanta has been destroyed at the wide receiver position and now it is the Harry Douglas show. He isn't a speedster, but if you see my Buy Low WR column this week you'll see he has a great chance to explode this week.

Golden Tate was a preseason sleeper and this is the week against the Cardinals I think he delivers on that. Lets hope Petersen covers somebody else.

Keenan Allen has looked like Calvin Johnson the last two weeks. This week he gets the Jags who could make me look like Calvin Johnson (well maybe). Expect some great yards and a Td from this low cost buy.

 TE Analysis
Jimmy Graham is on a bye and injured and coming of a big fat zero. Enter the ageless one Tony Gonzalez and his increased role in the Atlanta offense now that Julio Jones is out and Roddy White suspect. Big numbers for Gonzo.

K Analysis
Robbie Gould was money last week. This week he'll be money again.

D Analysis
Last week the Kansas City defense outscored Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Peyton Manning and just about everybody. They go to Houston whose QBs have thrown a pick 6 FIVE weeks in a row. Is it too much to ask for two this week? Oh yeah, lotsa sacks too.

More Fanduel Optimized Lineups
______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photo Courtesy of NFL.com

 Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

 He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites.  


_____________________________________________________________________________   

Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

Week 7 NFL Fanduel Optimized Lineup (Standard)

Top 3? I am? Sweet.
Injuries killed my Week 6 NFL Standard Fanduel Optimized Lineup. This week I've made my pleas, dig a good mojo dance and engaged a seer to peer into the future. Okay I made up the last part, but I am a mighty snazzy dancer.

I love my Week 7 Optimized Lineups and I expect to bad my bank account come Tuesday morning. Follow my advice and you can join me.

Fanduel Standard $60,000 Optimized Lineup

QB: Philip Rivers $7,600 SD@JAC
RB: Jamaal Charles $9,800 HOU@KC
RB: LeSean McCoy $9,500 DAL@PHI
WR: Harry Douglas $4,800 TB@ATL
WR: Julian Edelman $5,700 NE@NYJ
WR: Keenan Allen $4,500 SD@JAC
TE: Tony Gonzalez $6,800 TB@ATL
K: Robbie Gould $5,200 CHI@WAS
D: Kansas City Chiefs $6,000 HOU@KC 

QB Analysis
If I told you seven weeks ago that Philip Rivers would be a Top 3 player regardless of position you would have laughed, made shot drinking motions behind my back and ignored anything I said thereafter. To date he has thrown for 1,847 yards and 14 TDs. Expect those numbers to increase significantly against the Jags.

RB Analysis
Lets face it LeSean McCoy and Jamaal Charles are amazing badasses. I loved being able to afford both this week. Top backs against suspect run defenses. Sign me up. "That's all I have to say about that."

WR Analysis
This week I am buying low at wide receiver. But that doesn't mean I am tossing my $ away. These cheap options should score nearly as much as the big boys, but cost you a lot less.

Atlanta has been destroyed at the wide receiver position and now it is the Harry Douglas show. He isn't a speedster, but if you see my Buy Low WR column this week you'll see he has a great chance to explode this week.

Ah, every time we write Julian Edelman off he comes up big. Amendola is banged up, Gronk may not play AGAIN. Tom Brady trusts Edelman. I trust Edelman. You should to.

Keenan Allen has looked like Calvin Johnson the last two weeks. This week he gets the Jags who could make me look like Calvin Johnson (well maybe). Expect some great yards and a Td from this low cost buy.

TE Analysis
Jimmy Graham is on a bye and injured and coming of a big fat zero. Enter the ageless one Tony Gonzalez and his increased role in the Atlanta offense now that Julio Jones is out and Roddy White suspect. Big numbers for Gonzo.

K Analysis
Robbie Gould was money last week. This week he'll be money again.

D Analysis
Last week the Kansas City defense outscored Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Peyton Manning and just about everybody. They go to Houston whose QBs have thrown a pick 6 FIVE weeks in a row. Is it too much to ask for two this week? Oh yeah, lotsa sacks too.

More Fanduel Optimized Lineups
______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photo Courtesy of Wikipedia.com

 Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

 He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites.  

______________________________________________________________________________   

Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

NFL Week 7 Fanduel Optimized Lineup (Beginner)

Take That Peyton.
WOW. What the Hell Happened in Week 6? Injuries killed my lineups and I was not a chipper fella. If providence holds then this week should be less of a cluster@#%&. Lets pray to the fantasy gods that they are kind in Week 7.

The New Orleans Saints and the Oakland Raiders are on the bye so some standard must plays are not seeing action this week. Nowhere is this more obvious than at the tight end position. Weekly Buy High Jimmy Graham (except last week) injury hopefully won't last beyond the bye. Until then look elsewhere.

Fanduel Beginner $65,000 Optimized Lineup

QB: Andrew Luck $8,700 DEN@IND
RB: Jamaal Charles $9,800 HOU@KC
RB: LeSean McCoy $9,500 DAL@PHI
WR: Justin Blackmon $7,100 SD@JAC
WR: Victor Cruz $7,200 MIN@NYG
WR: Keenan Allen $4,500 SD@JAC
TE: Tony Gonzalez $6,800 TB@ATL
K: Robbie Gould $5,200 CHI@WAS
D: Kansas City Chiefs $6,000 HOU@KC

QB Analysis
I nearly went with Cam Newton here. He is a feature QB in this week's Buy High column and I think he'll continue what he started last week. However, Andrew Luck has been consistent money and this week the emotions will run high. So will the balls against the Broncos who allow more passing yards than anyone int he NFL.

RB Analysis
Lets face it LeSean McCoy and Jamaal Charles are amazing badasses. I loved being able to afford both this week. Top backs against suspect run defenses. Sign me up. "That's all I have to say about that."

WR Analysis
Man O' Man do I love this week. Victor Cruz and Justin Blackmon could easily top the charts this week and Keenan Allen will be a Top 15 play. 300 total yards and 5 TDs are within reach. For a total cost of $18,800???  Not Convinced?

Justin Blackmon has more targets and more yards over the last two weeks than any other pass catcher. He'll double his season TD output this week against the San Diego Chargers who have given up 1.742 yards and 10 TDs to opposing pass catchers.

Victor Cruz has been quiet the past few weeks but this week the Vikings and there 13 Td passes allowed come to town. Salsa fans rejoice, you'll see some dancing this Sunday.

Keenan Allen has looked like Calvin Johnson the last two weeks. This week he gets the Jags who could make me look like Calvin Johnson (well maybe). Expect some great yards and a Td from this low cost buy.

TE Analysis
Jimmy Graham is on a bye and injured and coming of a big fat zero. Enter the ageless one Tony Gonzalez and his increased role in the Atlanta offense now that Julio Jones is out and Roddy White suspect. Big numbers for Gonzo.

K Analysis
Robbie Gould was money last week. This week he'll be money again.

D Analysis
Last week the Kansas City defense outscored Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Peyton Manning and just about everybody. They go to Houston whose QBs have thrown a pick 6 FIVE weeks in a row. Is it too much to ask for two this week? Oh yeah, lotsa sacks too.

More Fanduel Optimized Lineups
______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photo Courtesy of NFL.com

 Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

 He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites.  

______________________________________________________________________________   

Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

Buy High/Buy Low: Wide Receivers and Tight Ends for NFL Week 7

Please Don't Drop the Ball.
 Week 6 of the 2013 NFL season was a perfect example of how chaotic the wide receiver and tight end positions can be. The top of the stats was dominated by a couple of wide receivers who have spent part of the season suspended in Justin Blackmon and Josh Gordon. A look at the Top 20 in receiving yards for Week 6 will make any longtime fantasy prognosticator scratch their heads.

I reiterate my theory on wide receivers. Spend your money elsewhere and go for low cost high upside.

Oddly the opposite is the case with tight ends. If you listened to me last week you did not buy Jimmy Graham, and while I'll take credit for it, even I didn't foresee a big fat zero in his stat line. Nor did I predict that Vernon Davis would annihilate the Arizona Cardinals. My sleeper Garret Graham apparently spent most of the game sleeping.

Yet, this week with Jimmy Graham on a bye (and injured) the top of the crop at TE becomes a bit more fuzzy. You can get good value on a tight end and spend it on your running backs instead.

Understand  these principals when selecting your wide receivers and tight ends.

Buy High are players that will cost you, but that are so sure to perform up to, or even exceed, their cost that they are worth the price. Find a few of these and build your team's core.

Buy Low are players who have a low cost, but who are highly likely to outperform their low cost. These are the sleepers of the week. These are the players that can win you the week.

Play on Fanduel.com Now : Play on DraftKings.com Now : Play on DraftStreet.com Now.

Wide Receivers: Buy High

DeSean Jackson : Fanduel - $8,200 : DraftKings - $7,700 : DraftStreet - $13,103
It doesn't really matter who is tossing Jackson the ball. In fact, after last week where Jackson caught two TDs, it may be better if Nick Foles gets the start again. Philly may win this game. If they do, Jackson will have to come up big.
Prediction: 120 yards receiving and 1 TD.

Dez Bryant : Fanduel - $8,200 : DraftKings - $7,700 : DraftStreet - $13,103
Another receiver from the same game who, like Jackson, is going against a team that has difficulty stopping players from putting up big receiving numbers. This should be an entertaining shootout and Dez will see a lot of looks.
Prediction: 110 yards receiving and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options: Justin Blackmon, Victor Cruz, Reggie Wayne and Brandon Marshall.

Wide Receivers: Buy Low

Keenan Allen :  Fanduel - $4,500 : DraftKings - $4,600 : DraftStreet - $8,415
How is this guy still so cheap? Under 5K after two straight 100+ 1 TD games. Put this guy in your lineup. Even if he only gets half that total he'll be worth the cost. Oh yeah, he's going against the Jags and his QB Rivers is looking like a pro bowler.
Prediction: 100 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Harry Douglas :  Fanduel - $4,800 : DraftKings - $4,600 : DraftStreet - $8,415
Douglas isn't a burner, but he is a decent receiver who will have to step up now that Julio Jones is done of the season and Roddy White is "well who knows." Against Tampa he'll bring his A game.
Prediction: 70 Receiving yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options: Julian Edelman, Terrance Williams and Kendall Wright.

10 + Catches?
Tight Ends: Buy High

Tony Gonzalez : Fanduel - $7,000 : DraftKings - $6,800 : DraftStreet - $11,282
We all saw what he did the the Patriot's a few weeks ago. Now that White and Jones are injured it is up to Harry Douglas and Gonzalez. Who do you think Matt Ryan looks to the most? Gonzo will make you happy against the Bucs.
Prediction: 100 yards and 1 TD

Antonio Gates : Fanduel - $6,700 : DraftKings - $5,700 : DraftStreet - $10,652
It has been a while since I recommended Gates for anything. But he goes against the Jags, has a rejuvenated Philip Rivers looking for him and should roll this week. He is a lower cost Buy High.
Predictions: 90 yards and a TD

Other Solid Options: Jordan Cameron, Julius Thomas and Jason Witten.

Tight End: Buy Low

Charles Clay : Fanduel - $4,900 : DraftKings - $4,500 : DraftStreet - $8,819
Miami likes to throw to their tight ends and Buffalo likes to give up receiving yards (1,754) and receiving TDs (12). This could be a great day for Double C. 
Prediction: 70 yards and 1 TD

Jordan Reed : Fanduel - $4,500 : DraftKings - $4,100 : DraftStreet - $5,781
In a few years we may talk about Jordan Reed in the same voice we talked about Aaron Hernandez before he was arrested for murder. Same college, same home state, same skill set. Hopefully NOT the same shitty personality. Chicago has given up more yards than people think. Reed will get a lot of them.
Prediction: 60 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options: Scott Chandler, Kyle Rudolph and Joseph Fauria

Play on Fanduel.com Now : Play on DraftKings.com Now : Play on DraftStreet.com Now.

Buy High/Buy Low Quarterbacks and Running Backs.

 ______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photos Courtesy of Wikipedia.com

Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites.  

DollarShaveClub-Save on a Shave ______________________________________________________________________________ Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Buy High/Buy Low: Quarterbacks and Running Backs for NFL Week 7

Running and Throwing is Fun
Week 6 had so many injuries that it was the subject of this week's What The Hell Was That? column. If you're one of those weekly fantasy players who likes to plan ahead you likely have a lot of re-planning to do. That's where Buy High/Buy Low comes to play.

Buy High are players that will cost you, but that are so sure to perform up to, or even exceed, their cost that they are worth the price. Find a few of these and build your team's core.

Buy Low are players who have a low cost, but who are highly likely to outperform their low cost. These are the sleepers of the week. These are the players that can win you the week.


Play on Fanduel.com Now : Play on DraftKings.com Now : Play on DraftStreet.com Now.

Quarterbacks: Buy High

Cam Newton: Fanduel - $8,700 : DraftKings - $9,000 : DraftStreet - $14,840
After five weeks of dismal stats Newton blew up last week. In Week 7 he goes against a St. Louis team that ranks 30th against the run and 23rd against the pass. Newton likes to run. Newton likes to pass. He'll have fun doing both.
Prediction:  290 passing yards and 2 TDs and 70 rushing yards and 1 TD.

Andrew Luck: Fanduel - $8,700 : DraftKings - $8,400 : DraftStreet -$13,676
Luck has been an under appreciated QB for most of the season, but he has the fourth highest QBR and takes on the man he replaced in Week 7 when Peyton Manning and the Broncos come to Indy. The Broncos have given up a staggering 2,026 passing yards through six games and Peyton will have a massive chip on his shoulder. Luck will have to throw a lot to stay in this game.
Prediction: 350 passing yards and 3 TDs. 25 rushing yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options: Philip Rivers,  Jay Cutler, Tony Romo and Peyton Manning (Duh).

Quarterbacks: Buy Low

Brandon Weeden: $5,500 : DraftKings - $5,600 : DraftStreet - $10,826
The Browns have a good defense. The Green Bay Packers suddenly find their WR corp decimated. I suspect that Weeden will get a lot of time to toss the ball against a defense that has allowed an average of 294 yards to opposing QBs.
Prediction: 305 yards and 2 TDS.

Thaddeus Lewis: Fanduel - $5,500 : DraftKings - $5,800 : DraftStreet - $9,789
Keep an eye on this gutsy pick. The Miami defense is not as good against the pass as people think, They're currently allowing 288 yards per game. I like Lewis a lot in leagues that require two starting QBs.
Prediction: 270 passing yards and 2 TDs. 30 rushing yards.

Other Solid Options: Eli Manning, Nick Foles and Alex Smith.

Blisters Schmisters
Running Backs: Buy High

Jamaal Charles: Fanduel - $9,800 : DraftKings - $8,500 : DraftStreet - $14,733
Charles is a must start nearly every week, but against the woeful Houston Texans and their cluster of an offense I suspect the Chiefs will dominate the time of possession. Charles will get lots of chances to rip off a big one and see lots of touches. Houston is #1 against the pass, but #26 against the run. The Chiefs are looking to go 7 - 0 and Charles will be a big reason why they get there.
Prediction: 140 rushing yards and 2 TDs. 45 receiving yards.


LeSean McCoy: Fanduel - $9,500 : DraftKings - $8,800 : DraftStreet - $14,478
The season's top runner will continue his domination against Dallas who is middle of the road against the run and near last against the pass. He is a legitimate threat to approach 200 total yards from scrimmage. Buy him and feel proud you did.
Prediction: 105 rushing yards and 1 TD. 80 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options:  Adrian Peterson, Matt Forte and Arian Foster.

Running Backs: Buy Low

Danny Woodhead: Fanduel - $6,100 : DraftKings - $5,200 : DraftStreet - $8,617
This kid can catch and this kid can run. This week he gets the Jaguars who don't know how to stop either. Woodhead has averaged 6 catches a game and I think this is the week he once again finds the end zone. I don't buy Matthews resurgence, but even still there will be plenty to go around.
Prediction: 50 rushing yards and 1 TD. 75 receiving yards and 1 TD.

Brandon Jacobs: Fanduel - $5,500 : DraftKings - $3,900 : DraftStreet - $7,427
Brandon Jacobs, who was the my No Name Stud of the Week last week, was on the couch a few weeks ago and now is a starting RB on a team with a QB who loves to toss interceptions. If Coach Coughlin wants to last the season he'll take the ball from Eli and hand it over and over again to Jacobs.
Prediction: 120 rushing yards and 1 TD.

Other Solid Options:  Eddie Lacy, Steven Ridley and DeAngelo Williams.

Play on Fanduel.com Now : Play on DraftKings.com Now : Play on DraftStreet.com Now.

Buy High/Buy Low Wide Receivers and Tight Ends.
 ______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photos Courtesy of ESPN.com.

Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

 He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites. 



______________________________________________________________________________ Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

What The Hell Was That?: NFL Week 6.

The Fifth Horsemen Strikes
The Fifth Horseman of the Apocalypse.

In Biblical lore there are Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse. They are Pestilence, Famine, War and Death. Evidently the authors of the Bible did not foresee Fantasy Football otherwise they would have added a Fifth Horseman named Injury.

This week Injury was busy.

DeMarco Murray, Cecil Shorts, Jimmy Graham, Randall Cobb, James Jones, Danny Amendola, Joique Bell, Matt Schaub, Bilal Powell, Calvin Johnson, etc, etc.

These big time players (yes even Mr. Toss A Pick Six Schaub is a major player) all got banged up early and their owners in Week 6. If you had any of them in your lineup you saw your weekly fantasy chances sink and your bank account did not get fatter.

The Ripple Effect of the Fifth Horseman.

Injuries don't just damage the injured players output, but their surrounding cast. Nowhere was this more evident in Week 6 than with Tony Romo. DeMarco Murray has been a staggering good running back this year for the Cowboys and he has allowed Romo to open up the passing game. Once Murray went down Romo's numbers plummeted.

So what should you take from this?

When selecting a QB pay attention to the status of his supporting cast. A sudden change due to injury or suspension can mean a decrease in numbers for any signal caller.

Look for bench players now thrust into the starting lineup on high powered offenses. Green Bay's backup receivers. Dallas' backup running backs. Julian Edelman if Amendola doesn't play. Justin Blackmon regardless of Cecil Shorts status.

What The Hell of the Week: Why Did You Buy Jimmy Graham?

Yup, I'm gonna toot my own horn here a bit. If you listened to me you did not buy Jimmy Graham and you may have won some money in Week 6. That is unless Shorts, Romo, Peyton, G. Graham or DeMarco made it into your in. What can I say but Oops, but then again EVERYONE loved them.

Darth Hoodie Strikes Again
If you listened to the pundits and experts around the fantasy football world who loved Jimmy Graham in Week 6 you lost. The amount he cost ($8,700) for the amount he got you (a big fat 0) was insurmountable.

I warned you. Why didn't you listen? Evidently a staggering amount of Fanduel.com players don't pay attention to history. The Patriot's always take away a teams best player. It can be counted on almost as much as a slow motion Belichick scowl. Aqib Talib (also injured) was a beast on Graham, who has arguably been the fantasy MVP this season. Initial reports suggest he won't miss too much time, but keep an eye on the injury wire as the week progresses.

No Name Stud of The Week: Brandon Jacobs

Brandon Jacobs has a name, but it hasn't been relevant in years.  That is until Thursday against the Bears when he ran 22 times for 106 yards and 2 TDs and added a reception for 8 yards. FRom couch to stud. Will he continue or is it a fluke? As long as David Wilson's wonky neck keeps him out Jacobs has value. However, Giants Week 7 opponent, the Vikings, are ninth best against the run. Buy low for now, maybe.
______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photos Courtesy of NFL.com

Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

 He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites. 


DollarShaveClub-Save on a Shave ______________________________________________________________________________

Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.


Monday, October 14, 2013

How'd I Do?: Week 6 NFL Fanduel Edition.

Wah! I Miss You DeMarco.
Who would have thought that Romo and Peyton would combine for a measly 24.9 in Fanduel.com points after scoring a crapload against each other in Week 5? If you went with any of my optimized lineup for Week 6 you most certainly didn't forsee that outcome.

Add in the Cecil Shorts and DeMarco Murray (Jimmy Graham if you didn't listen to me) injuries and your Week 6 Fanduel.com plays probably ended with you in the middle of the pack.

The painful part is that Murray at least was on pace for a great game, which would have helped Romo and Dez Bryant and Terrance Williams and Dan Bailey who all helped sink my chances.

Can you believe that I almost went with Justin Blackmon, who cost $100 less who proved, in theory at least, that Shorts was a good play by stepping out and catching 14 balls for 190n yards.

OK, whine-fest is over.

I did call Jimmy Graham's bad day, if not a big ol' goose egg, and I am truly surprised that I seemed to be in the extreme minority there. The Pats always take the opponents best player away. Did you think they were gonna stop Colston? To add injury to insult Graham injured his leg. Watch twitter to see what his condition is.

Other Hits: Knowhson Moreno was huge. OMG the Kansas City Chiefs D is sick. Use them every week. Julius Thomas continues to be the Fanduel's second best TE.

Other Misses: Garret Graham has Houston's QBs tossing it. Nuff said. T. Willams, D. Bryant.

______________________________________________________________________________ 

Photo Courtesy of NFL.com

 Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.

He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.

 He is here to share his adventures, give advice and  tips and help you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites. 


______________________________________________________________________________

Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.

Fanduel bar