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Please Don't Drop the Ball. |
Week 6 of the 2013 NFL season was a perfect example of how chaotic the wide receiver and tight end positions can be. The top of the stats was dominated by a couple of wide receivers who have spent part of the season suspended in
Justin Blackmon and
Josh Gordon. A look at the
Top 20 in receiving yards for Week 6 will make any longtime fantasy prognosticator scratch their heads.
I reiterate my theory on wide receivers. Spend your money elsewhere and go for low cost high upside.
Oddly the opposite is the case with tight ends. If you
listened to me last week you did not buy Jimmy Graham, and while I'll take credit for it, even I didn't foresee a big fat zero in his stat line. Nor did I predict that Vernon Davis would annihilate the Arizona Cardinals. My sleeper Garret Graham apparently spent most of the game sleeping.
Yet, this week with Jimmy Graham on a bye (and injured) the top of the crop at TE becomes a bit more fuzzy. You can get good value on a tight end and
spend it on your running backs instead.
Understand these principals when selecting your wide receivers and tight ends.
Buy High are players that will cost you, but that are so sure to perform
up to, or even exceed, their cost that they are worth the price. Find a
few of these and build your team's core.
Buy Low are players who have a low cost, but who are highly likely to
outperform their low cost. These are the sleepers of the week. These are
the players that can win you the week.
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Wide Receivers: Buy High
DeSean Jackson : Fanduel - $8,200 : DraftKings - $7,700 : DraftStreet - $13,103
It doesn't really matter who is tossing Jackson the ball. In fact, after last week where Jackson caught two TDs, it may be better if Nick Foles gets the start again. Philly may win this game. If they do, Jackson will have to come up big.
Prediction: 120 yards receiving and 1 TD.
Dez Bryant : Fanduel - $8,200 : DraftKings - $7,700 : DraftStreet - $13,103
Another receiver from the same game who, like Jackson, is going against a team that has difficulty stopping players from putting up big receiving numbers. This should be an entertaining shootout and Dez will see a lot of looks.
Prediction: 110 yards receiving and 1 TD.
Other Solid Options: Justin Blackmon, Victor Cruz, Reggie Wayne and Brandon Marshall.
Wide Receivers: Buy Low
Keenan Allen : Fanduel - $4,500 : DraftKings - $4,600 : DraftStreet - $8,415
How is this guy still so cheap? Under 5K after two straight 100+ 1 TD games. Put this guy in your lineup. Even if he only gets half that total he'll be worth the cost. Oh yeah, he's going against the Jags and his QB Rivers is looking like a pro bowler.
Prediction: 100 receiving yards and 1 TD.
Harry Douglas : Fanduel - $4,800 : DraftKings - $4,600 : DraftStreet - $8,415
Douglas isn't a burner, but he is a decent receiver who will have to step up now that Julio Jones is done of the season and Roddy White is "well who knows." Against Tampa he'll bring his A game.
Prediction: 70 Receiving yards and 1 TD.
Other Solid Options: Julian Edelman, Terrance Williams and Kendall Wright.
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10 + Catches? |
Tight Ends: Buy High
Tony Gonzalez : Fanduel - $7,000 : DraftKings - $6,800 : DraftStreet - $11,282
We all saw what he did the the Patriot's a few weeks ago. Now that White and Jones are injured it is up to Harry Douglas and Gonzalez. Who do you think Matt Ryan looks to the most? Gonzo will make you happy against the Bucs.
Prediction: 100 yards and 1 TD
Antonio Gates : Fanduel - $6,700 : DraftKings - $5,700 : DraftStreet - $10,652
It has been a while since I recommended Gates for anything. But he goes against the Jags, has a rejuvenated Philip Rivers looking for him and should roll this week. He is a lower cost Buy High.
Predictions: 90 yards and a TD
Other Solid Options: Jordan Cameron, Julius Thomas and Jason Witten.
Tight End: Buy Low
Charles Clay : Fanduel - $4,900 : DraftKings - $4,500 : DraftStreet - $8,819
Miami likes to throw to their tight ends and Buffalo likes to give up receiving yards (1,754) and receiving TDs (12). This could be a great day for Double C.
Prediction: 70 yards and 1 TD
Jordan Reed : Fanduel - $4,500 : DraftKings - $4,100 : DraftStreet - $5,781
In a few years we may talk about Jordan Reed in the same voice we talked about Aaron Hernandez before he was arrested for murder. Same college, same home state, same skill set. Hopefully NOT the same shitty personality. Chicago has given up more yards than people think. Reed will get a lot of them.
Prediction: 60 receiving yards and 1 TD.
Other Solid Options: Scott Chandler, Kyle Rudolph and Joseph Fauria
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Buy High/Buy Low Quarterbacks and Running Backs.
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Photos Courtesy of
Wikipedia.com
Chris Carney lives an avid fantasy life with "imaginary" friends
named Brees, Peterson and Megatron. He writes about (and thoroughly
enjoys) fantasy sports, Las Vegas and beer.
He's been published in Las Vegas Magazine, Inside Orlando Magazine, Nevada Magazine, About.com, AOL Travel, and Hard Rock Magazine.
He is here to share his adventures, give advice and tips and help
you maximize your fun and profit on daily fantasy sites.
______________________________________________________________________________ Legal Disclaimer: Daily Fantasy Plays makes predictions based on available information. Use these projections at your own risk. Read up, research and play wisely. Daily Fantasy Plays is not responsible for your Daily Fantasy League losses.